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I’m biased by my optimism and by history

When CNBC Meets UFC (Kinda)

I’ve written a lot about how having a solid wealth plan in place is the key to coming out of a bear market in the best possible condition. But having a wealth plan isn’t enough if you don’t also have the patience and discipline to execute on the plan – especially when your survival instincts are being bombarded by the media.

In case you missed it, there was a…how do I put this…kerfuffle between Andrew Ross Sorkin and Joe Kernen on CNBC this morning. I had to watch it like three times.

But it really caught my attention starting at the 2:35 mark, where Joe starts to defend himself by saying he was trying to help investors not panic. It was one of the very few times I felt like CNBC (really Joe) was trying to articulate the benefits of investors “keep[ing] their cool, keep[ing] their heads” and then said, “as it turns out, that’s what they should have done.”

Sad…someone was trying to make a lucid point about the benefits of patience and discipline, and it was drowned out by divisive banter that reminded me of a “I know you are, but what am I?” exchange. Two guys making two different points yelling at each other until one calls the other a shill for the President.

Awful…

But people still listen.

Well, they selectively listen…usually for the sound bites that validate their biases one way or the other (for example a bull or bear market case).

I’m biased, too, though. I’m biased by my optimism and by history. In the absence of a crystal ball, history and some general probabilities are the best guides for looking forward…and they drive a big part of my optimism.

But rather than try to keep writing or talking about the history of bear markets and recoveries…I’m just gonna show you. Thanks to Invesco (@InvescoUS). Green = GOOD…Red = BAD

S&P 500 Historical Performance During Bull and Bear Markets

As a sign-off, thank you for reading—I really mean that. And thank you for thinking enough of our work to be subscribed. At a Team meeting today, I learned that our “Off the Wall” Blog subscription rate is up over 100% year-to-date versus the same period in 2019. Wow. That’s happening because people like you are sharing our work and encouraging others to tune in.

Thank you.

But also, a huge thanks to the Monument Team that works behind the scenes to make this blog work–I appreciate it. I feel a tiny bit asshole-y for taking this long to thank them here, but our digital presence wouldn’t exist without “The Brittanys”. Brittany Dewberry and Brittany Gabel do all the work after I save a basic Word doc in SharePoint. Love you guys in a completely HR-appropriate way—for a ton of reasons, but particularly because you never reply to me with #OKGenXer.

If you haven’t visited our social media pages, be sure to do that. There has been a complete “step up” in our game there and you’ll find some fun personality there too. Links here:

Keep looking forward,

Dave

 

What’s Next?

Investing is a balance

Important Disclosure Information

Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product (including the investments and/or investment strategies recommended or undertaken by Monument Wealth Management), or any non-investment related content, made reference to directly or indirectly in this blog will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), be suitable for your portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful.

All indexes referenced are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. The economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions and/or applicable laws, the content may no longer be reflective of current opinions or positions. Moreover, you should not assume that any discussion or information contained in this blog serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice from Monument Wealth Management. To the extent that a reader has any questions regarding the applicability of any specific issue discussed above to his/her individual situation, he/she is encouraged to consult with the professional advisor of his/her choosing. Monument Wealth Management is neither a law firm nor a certified public accounting firm and no portion of the blog content should be construed as legal or accounting advice.

A copy of Monument Wealth Management’s current written disclosure statement discussing our advisory services and fees is available for review upon request.

David B. photo

David B. Armstrong, CFA

President & Co-Founder

Dave got into the industry when he discovered his passion for finance in his mid-20’s. He’s a combat veteran and served as an officer in the United States Marines Corps on both active duty and in the reserves, retiring at the rank of Lieutenant Colonel. While serving on active duty, Dave was unable to spend money on deployments, so he became a self-taught investor. Along with a few bucks cash as a bouncer, his investing performance grew to be good....

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IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE INFORMATION

Please remember that past performance is no guarantee of future results.  Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product (including the investments and/or investment strategies recommended or undertaken by Monument Capital Management, LLC [“Monument”]), or any non-investment related content, made reference to directly or indirectly in this blog will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), be suitable for your portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful.  Due to various factors, including changing market conditions and/or applicable laws, the content may no longer be reflective of current opinions or positions.  Moreover, you should not assume that any discussion or information contained in this blog serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice from Monument. To the extent that a reader has any questions regarding the applicability of any specific issue discussed above to his/her individual situation, he/she is encouraged to consult with the professional advisor of his/her choosing. No amount of prior experience or success should be construed that a certain level of results or satisfaction will be achieved if Monument is engaged, or continues to be engaged, to provide investment advisory services. Monument is neither a law firm nor a certified public accounting firm and no portion of the blog content should be construed as legal or accounting advice.

A copy of the Monument’s current written disclosure Brochure discussing our advisory services and fees is available for review upon request or at www.monumentwealthmanagement.com/disclosures. Please Note: Monument does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy, timeliness, suitability, completeness, or relevance of any information prepared by any unaffiliated third party, whether linked to Monument’s website or blog or incorporated herein, and takes no responsibility for any such content. All such information is provided solely for convenience purposes only and all users thereof should be guided accordingly.

Historical performance results for investment indices, benchmarks, and/or categories have been provided for general informational/comparison purposes only, and generally do not reflect the deduction of transaction and/or custodial charges, the deduction of an investment management fee, nor the impact of taxes, the incurrence of which would have the effect of decreasing historical performance results.  It should not be assumed that your Monument account holdings correspond directly to any comparative indices or categories. Please Also Note: (1) performance results do not reflect the impact of taxes; (2) comparative benchmarks/indices may be more or less volatile than your Monument accounts; and, (3) a description of each comparative benchmark/index is available upon request.

Please Remember: If you are a Monument client, please contact Monument, in writing, if there are any changes in your personal/financial situation or investment objectives for the purpose of reviewing/evaluating/revising our previous recommendations and/or services, or if you would like to impose, add, or to modify any reasonable restrictions to our investment advisory services.  Unless, and until, you notify us, in writing, to the contrary, we shall continue to provide services as we do currently. Please Also Remember to advise us if you have not been receiving account statements (at least quarterly) from the account custodian.

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