U.S. Economic Data Looking Brighter

Brighter

The euro-zone miseries have abated thanks to European Central Bank (ECB) efforts, but it’s clear from last week that they have not been solved. The latest flare-up in Cyprus is a reminder that Europe’s banking system still has a number of weak spots. Interestingly, (thankfully?) markets in the U.S. haven’t shown much concern and as of this morning it looks like a bailout has been completed.  So while concerns will likely linger due to undercapitalized euro-zone banks and an ongoing European recession, the promises of increased liquidity from the ECB has bought policy makers more time and has had a calming effect.

Here’s a recap of how the market did last week.

Weekly Market Returns 3/25/13

U.S. Economic Data

U.S. economic data continues to paint a brighter overall picture. Weekly initial jobless claims were below 340,000 for the second consecutive week.  That’s the first time we have seen back-to-back week reports below 340,000 since November of 2007.

Housing continues to gain a stronger and stronger foothold, with housing starts and building permits rising once again.  Existing home sales in February rose for the 4th month in 5 and hit a 3-year high.

Finally, the Federal Reserve meeting last week ended with little ballyhoo (I’ve been DYING to use that word). Policy makers acknowledged that the economy is expanding at a modest pace, and its bond buying program will continue at a rate of $85 billion per month.  So no change and no real excitement there – I think they keep looking at job improvements as a gauge for when they will change those purchases.

Our opinion remains that investors who are fully invested remain that way and investors with cash positions tactically invest portions of that cash position on any market pullbacks.

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Securities offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advice offered through Monument Advisory Group, LLC, a registered investment advisor.  Monument Advisory Group, LLC, and Monument Wealth Management are separate entities from LPL Financial.

The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. To determine which investment(s) may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Stock investing involves risk including loss of principal. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is comprised of 30 stocks that are major factors in their industries, and widely held by individuals and institutional investors. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged capitalization weighted index of 500 stocks designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries. The NASDAQ Composite Index measures all domestic and non-U.S. based common stocks listed on The NASDAQ Stock Market. The market value, the last sale price multiplied by total shares outstanding, is calculated throughout the trading day, and is related to the total value of the Index. The Russell 2000 Small Stock Index is an unmanaged index generally representative of the 2000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000 Index. The Russell 2000 is an unmanaged index generally comprised of companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values.  The 2, 10 and 30 year Treasury is simply the yield at the close of the day.

(1)      West Texas Intermediate crude spot price is as of end of week.

(2)      London Bullion Market Association; gold fixing pricing at 3 p.m. London time.

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David B. Armstrong, CFA

President & Co-Founder

Dave got into the industry when he discovered his passion for finance in his mid-20’s. He’s a combat veteran and served as an officer in the United States Marines Corps on both active duty and in the reserves, retiring at the rank of Lieutenant Colonel. While serving on active duty, Dave was unable to spend money on deployments, so he became a self-taught investor. Along with a few bucks cash as a bouncer, his investing performance grew to be good....

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