Are tariffs the problem or just a symptom? Recent tariff announcements are stirring up uncertainty. What does that mean for inflation, economic growth, and investor sentiment? In this episode of Off the Wall, hosts Jessica Gibbs, CFP®, and David B. Armstrong, CFA, are joined by Monument Wealth Management’s Portfolio Management team Erin M. Hay, CFA, CMT®, and Nate W. Tonsager, CIPM® to address the biggest market headlines in the first quarter of 2025.
[00:50] Introducing Nate Tonsager & The topic of today’s episode
[02:40] The State of Nate: Inflation & Federal rate hikes
[05:29] Does it matter if inflation goes down or not?
[09:23] Will the market rebound in Q3 (July/August) continue in the short-term?
[12:48] When should I re-enter the market after a “storm”? Should I wait to invest my cash until I feel better?
[13:55] Will the market rebound in Q3 continue in the long-term? What is the probability of a recession happening in the future?
[17:45] What is MONCON? & The MONCON level we’re at right now.
[25:00] Why we don’t pay attention to individual earnings reports and expectations.
[32:37] The future of fed rate hikes & How to use the CME FedWatch Tool
[40:17] What’s on our minds right now: Outperformance of small cap stocks & The breakout between services and goods inflation.