Lifetime Milestones & The Power of Time

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

Sometimes we forget about the power of time.  Big historical moments are memories in our lives, but we tend to live in the present…or in the past few weeks.  We are bombarded by quarterly earnings, GDP, employment reports, market pull backs, and the never-ending news cycle. The list of things grabbing our attention is long. In fact, it’s infinite. It …

The Current State of Things

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

I want to write something, but I keep staring at my screen.  It happens.  It happens a lot more since I’ve stopped writing a “Weekly Market Summary.”  I’ve graduated from that.  It was great when I started writing because I had a topic ready for every weekend. But when looking back it’s all blah blah blah. No one cared. I …

Is it Worth Paying Attention to The Fed?

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

The Fed’s 9-1 decision the other day to leave the policy rate unchanged was not a shock or surprise to anyone.  But, the Fed did telegraph a polarity shift to the markets and equities gained slightly on future rate cut optimism (the S&P 500 was up about 0.3%) while the 10-year yield declined to around 2.03%.  I’m guessing there is a 95% certainty the …

A Quick Note on Market Volatility

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

I don’t think the best search engine optimization practice is to recommend the real title I wanted to use: “Shit Happens…Often.” But including it in the body is probably good enough, eh? Man, I suspect we will be seeing a lot of “Sell in May” references by the time this month is over.  Heading into today, the S&P 500 is …

Universal Healthscare

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

Weakness in the Healthcare sector has been widespread on the heels of political discussions around healthcare and drug prices.  Drug makers, insurance companies, medical companies and biotechs have all struggled from this. Actually, “struggled” is an understatement. While the Healthcare sector has been losing ground, one of the top performing S&P 500 sectors, Technology, has continued to outperform. That’s just …

After_Long_Nap_Im_Woke 2.8.2019

A Long Nap – I’m Woke

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

It’s really important that investors understand what has happened over the past two months. Ask yourself, do you even remember what caused the Christmas Eve sell off? If you do, do you still possess fear over that issue? Furthermore, what were your emotional reactions? I suspect there was a lot of fear and anxiety – and that’s understandable. No one …

3 Kinds of Investors

Three Kinds of Investors

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

The other day, a colleague asked me about my thoughts for a blog he was writing on whether investors were hiring and/or firing advisors, especially during periods like the last three months. The conversation went something like this: Colleague: “Do you think the current environment causes a lot of investors to switch advisors? Me: “Yes, and vice versa. I’ll bet …

Investing_Look_Ahead_2019

Investing: How to Look Ahead in 2019 (Part 1)

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

2019 is here and by now everyone has probably overdosed on news about how 2018 closed out. I’m a little late posting this since I took the week off between Christmas and New Year’s to read and relax. My efforts, as Marine fighter pilot Lt. Col. Wilbur “Bull” Meechum from The Great Santini would have put it, were “grossly insufficient.” …

Trade and The Tariff Man

Trade and The Tariff Man

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

I was inspired to write based on a social media post from yesterday by my old friend and stalwart colleague, Rob Bartenstein, the CEO of Kestra Wealth Management. “The news media may or may not be the enemy of the people. But it ain’t your friend. Your friend wouldn’t blare negative sh!t [my edit] at you all day punctuated with …

Dumb Money

Dumb Money Ain’t So Dumb

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

I don’t normally write blogs about articles that other folks write, but in this case I must. In Wednesday’s edition of The Wall Street Journal, the venerable Jason Zweig published an article called, “Why Charities Do Good—but Not Well—With Your Money.” I’m a WSJ subscriber so I don’t know if this is behind a paywall, but I’ll highlight some of the …

The Unknown Nature of Investing

The Unknown Nature of Investing

David B. Armstrong, CFA Weekly Market Commentary

Annie Duke’s Thinking in Bets – Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts may as well be titled “Dave, Read Me Now!” Not even 20 pages in, she starts comparing Chess and Poker. Duke states that “The quality of our lives is the sum of decision quality PLUS luck.”  Emphasis mine. Chess is not a game of …